Senseible

Our CBAM verification came back negative. What happens to our EU buyers?

Your EU buyers cannot use your figures for that year. They, and any plant that uses your goods as a precursor, must switch to the Commission's default values plus the mark-up, 10% for 2026 production. Fix the findings, update the monitoring plan and set up next year's verification early.

The three ways a statement turns negative

What changes for your buyers

The Commission's guidance is blunt: a report with a negative statement cannot supply actual specific embedded emissions or actual free allocation figures. Every importer of those goods, and every operator using them as a precursor, has to use the default values. Defaults are set so they do not understate emissions, so your buyer's CBAM bill usually rises.

The importer files the annual declaration by 30 September for the previous year's imports, and the guidance suggests they want verification reports by mid-August at the latest. That is why a late negative result hurts: there is no time left to fix anything for that declaration.

What to do this week

  1. Tell each EU buyer in writing which goods and which year are affected, so they plan on default values instead of waiting.
  2. Tell any customer who uses your goods as a precursor. Their verifier will check your report and will not accept a negative one.
  3. Sit with the verifier's findings list and sort each item: data you can recover, a meter or lab gap you must fix, or a plan section to rewrite.
  4. Update the monitoring plan and record what changed. Non-conformities left uncorrected can be escalated to material in later years.
  5. Agree next year's timeline with the verifier now, with a plan assessment early in the year rather than after 31 December.

Avoid it next time

Most negatives can be avoided before the report is issued. Materiality is not a tolerance band: the verifier asks you to correct every misstatement it finds during the engagement. Answer findings fast, keep primary documents for every figure, and do not let a verification finish with corrections still open.

Worked example: 1,000 t of hot-rolled coil, CN 7208, made in India in 2026

The 2.600 t figure is an example. The certificates the buyer surrenders also depend on the free allocation adjustment, which this example leaves out.

What Senseible does here

Senseible's CBAM Suite builds the operator emissions report from your plant records and exports a verifier pack with an evidence index and a check of misstatements against the 5% materiality level, so gaps show up before the verifier finds them. That in-house check is not the CBAM verification: the statement comes from an accredited verifier, whether Senseible's partner or one you appoint, and Senseible cannot change it.

Sources: European Commission, Guidance on CBAM verification and accreditation (24 August 2026), sections 3.5, 4.1, 4.15 (Table 6) and 4.16 (Table 7), European Commission, CBAM Questions and Answers (15 October 2026), question 4.25 on default values and mark-ups, European Commission, default values file (version of 6 August 2026), India sheet

Last reviewed 2026-10-29.